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summary_entered_exited.tex 7.8 KB

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  1. \begin{table}[H]
  2. \centering
  3. \caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the probability of having entered a new research area and (b) the probability of having exited a research area, for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
  4. \label{table:summary_entered_exited}
  5. \renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{lllllll}
  6. \toprule
  7. Dep. variable & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Entered a new research area} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Exited a research area} \\
  8. Model & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
  9. Predictor & & & & & & \\
  10. \midrule
  11. \textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.16}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+0.15}\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{+0.14}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+1.1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{+0.88}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ & $\bm{+1.1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ \\
  12. \textbf{Social capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.22}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+0.18}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+0.21}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
  13. \textbf{Social capital (power)} & $-0.13\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.16}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
  14. \textbf{Stable affiliation} & $-0.17\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.16\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.16\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.25}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
  15. \textbf{Academic age} & $-0.005\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{-0.36}\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.13}$ \\
  16. \textbf{Productivity (co-authored)} & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ & $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{-0.32}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ \\
  17. \textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)} & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.11}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
  18. \hline Hadrons & $-0.1\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.36}$ & $-0.2\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.009\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.23\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.44}$ & $-0.005\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
  19. String theory \& supergravity & $\bm{+0.46}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.33}$ & $\bm{+0.56}\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.36}$ & $\bm{+0.4}\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.32}$ & $\bm{+0.39}\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.35}$ & $\bm{+0.85}\substack{+0.42 \\ -0.42}$ & $\bm{+0.35}\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.34}$ \\
  20. Perturbative methods & $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.43}$ & $-0.3\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.55}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ \\
  21. Classical fields & $+0.26\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.64}$ & $+0.4\substack{+1.5 \\ -0.75}$ & $+0.25\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.63}$ & $-0.35\substack{+0.57 \\ -1.4}$ & $-0.45\substack{+0.81 \\ -1.2}$ & $-0.31\substack{+0.54 \\ -1.3}$ \\
  22. Collider physics & $-0.32\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.35}$ & $\bm{-0.5}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.35}$ & $-0.3\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.35}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.24}$ & $-0.15\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ & $+0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ \\
  23. Dynamics & $-0.19\substack{+0.59 \\ -0.87}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.91}$ & $-0.18\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.88}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $+0.14\substack{+1.1 \\ -0.79}$ & $-0.003\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ \\
  24. Neutrinos \& flavour physics & $+0.16\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.31}$ & $+0.16\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.35}$ & $-0.35\substack{+0.38 \\ -0.43}$ & $-0.21\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.36}$ \\
  25. Black holes & $-0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.006\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.38}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ & $\bm{+0.64}\substack{+0.58 \\ -0.54}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.42 \\ -0.3}$ \\
  26. Gauge theory \& Grand Unification & $-0.002\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $+0.003\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.6}$ & $+0.005\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.7}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.8 \\ -0.8}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.7}$ \\
  27. Dark matter & $\bm{-0.68}\substack{+0.56 \\ -0.56}$ & $\bm{-0.75}\substack{+0.56 \\ -0.56}$ & $\bm{-0.66}\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.56}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.5}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ \\
  28. Thermodynamics & $-0.07\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.7}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.62 \\ -0.66}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.5}$ & $+0.31\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.72}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.5}$ \\
  29. Cosmology & $-0.003\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.46 \\ -0.31}$ & $+0.51\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.52}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.3}$ \\
  30. Electroweak sector & $+0.11\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.27}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.14\substack{+0.35 \\ -0.29}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
  31. QCD & $-0.08\substack{+0.31 \\ -0.35}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.08\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ \\
  32. Quantum Field Theory & $+0.3\substack{+0.61 \\ -0.43}$ & $+0.42\substack{+0.65 \\ -0.5}$ & $+0.26\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.42}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.2\substack{+0.59 \\ -0.46}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.39}$ \\
  33. AdS/CFT & $+0.17\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.46}$ & $+0.27\substack{+0.73 \\ -0.51}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.63 \\ -0.45}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.5}$ & $+0.14\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.54}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.5}$ \\
  34. \bottomrule
  35. \end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
  36. \end{table}