\begin{table}[H]
\centering
\caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the probability of having entered a new research area and (b) the probability of having exited a research area, for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
\label{table:summary_entered_exited}
\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{lllllll}
\toprule
Dep. variable & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Entered a new research area} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Exited a research area} \\
Model &                              Reference &                    $D=\text{Stirling}$ &                   $P=\text{Brokerage}$ &                              Reference &                    $D=\text{Stirling}$ &                   $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
Predictor                                 &                                        &                                        &                                        &                                        &                                        &                                        \\
\midrule
\textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} &  $\bm{+0.16}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ &    $\bm{+0.15}\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &  $\bm{+0.14}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ &   $\bm{+1.1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ &  $\bm{+0.88}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ &   $\bm{+1.1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (diversity)}       &  $\bm{+0.22}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ &  $\bm{+0.18}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ &   $\bm{+0.21}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.1}$ &         $+0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (power)}           &       $-0.13\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ &       $-0.11\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ &       $-0.08\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ &       $-0.11\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.16}$ &         $-0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ &         $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\textbf{Stable affiliation}               &       $-0.17\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ &       $-0.16\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ &       $-0.16\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ &         $+0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ &       $+0.11\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.25}$ &         $+0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
\textbf{Academic age}                     &        $-0.005\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $-0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &   $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ &   $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ &  $\bm{-0.36}\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.13}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (co-authored)}       &         $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $-0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ &       $-0.11\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ &  $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ &  $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ &  $\bm{-0.32}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)}     &        $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.09}$ &         $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &         $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ &       $+0.07\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.11}$ &         $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\hline Hadrons                                   &         $-0.1\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.36}$ &        $-0.2\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ &         $-0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ &        $-0.009\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ &       $-0.23\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.44}$ &        $-0.005\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
String theory \& supergravity             &  $\bm{+0.46}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.33}$ &  $\bm{+0.56}\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.36}$ &   $\bm{+0.4}\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.32}$ &  $\bm{+0.39}\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.35}$ &  $\bm{+0.85}\substack{+0.42 \\ -0.42}$ &  $\bm{+0.35}\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.34}$ \\
Perturbative methods                      &         $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $+0.03\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $+0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &        $-0.1\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.43}$ &        $-0.3\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.55}$ &         $-0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ \\
Classical fields                          &        $+0.26\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.64}$ &         $+0.4\substack{+1.5 \\ -0.75}$ &        $+0.25\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.63}$ &        $-0.35\substack{+0.57 \\ -1.4}$ &        $-0.45\substack{+0.81 \\ -1.2}$ &        $-0.31\substack{+0.54 \\ -1.3}$ \\
Collider physics                          &       $-0.32\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.35}$ &   $\bm{-0.5}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.35}$ &        $-0.3\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.35}$ &        $+0.1\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.24}$ &       $-0.15\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ &         $+0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ \\
Dynamics                                  &       $-0.19\substack{+0.59 \\ -0.87}$ &       $-0.19\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.91}$ &        $-0.18\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.88}$ &         $-0.01\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ &        $+0.14\substack{+1.1 \\ -0.79}$ &        $-0.003\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ \\
Neutrinos \& flavour physics              &        $+0.16\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.3}$ &       $+0.11\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.31}$ &        $+0.16\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.3}$ &       $-0.19\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.35}$ &       $-0.35\substack{+0.38 \\ -0.43}$ &       $-0.21\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.36}$ \\
Black holes                               &         $-0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ &        $+0.006\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &        $-0.1\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.38}$ &         $+0.09\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ &  $\bm{+0.64}\substack{+0.58 \\ -0.54}$ &        $+0.09\substack{+0.42 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Gauge theory \& Grand Unification         &        $-0.002\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ &        $+0.003\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.6}$ &        $+0.005\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ &         $-0.09\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.7}$ &         $-0.09\substack{+0.8 \\ -0.8}$ &         $-0.07\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.7}$ \\
Dark matter                               &  $\bm{-0.68}\substack{+0.56 \\ -0.56}$ &  $\bm{-0.75}\substack{+0.56 \\ -0.56}$ &  $\bm{-0.66}\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.56}$ &         $-0.02\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $-0.07\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.5}$ &         $-0.02\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ \\
Thermodynamics                            &         $-0.07\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.7}$ &       $-0.04\substack{+0.62 \\ -0.66}$ &         $-0.07\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ &         $+0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.5}$ &        $+0.31\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.72}$ &         $+0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.5}$ \\
Cosmology                                 &        $-0.003\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $+0.05\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $-0.01\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &       $+0.12\substack{+0.46 \\ -0.31}$ &        $+0.51\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.52}$ &        $+0.11\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Electroweak sector                        &       $+0.11\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.27}$ &         $+0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ &       $+0.14\substack{+0.35 \\ -0.29}$ &         $+0.02\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ &         $-0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ &         $-0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
QCD                                       &       $-0.08\substack{+0.31 \\ -0.35}$ &       $-0.13\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ &         $-0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ &         $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ &         $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &         $+0.08\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Quantum Field Theory                      &        $+0.3\substack{+0.61 \\ -0.43}$ &        $+0.42\substack{+0.65 \\ -0.5}$ &        $+0.26\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.42}$ &         $-0.04\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ &        $+0.2\substack{+0.59 \\ -0.46}$ &       $-0.02\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.39}$ \\
AdS/CFT                                   &       $+0.17\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.46}$ &       $+0.27\substack{+0.73 \\ -0.51}$ &       $+0.15\substack{+0.63 \\ -0.45}$ &         $-0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.5}$ &        $+0.14\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.54}$ &         $-0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.5}$ \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
\end{table}
