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- function [ BS ] = BrierScoreCalc( ProbOccurs, Occured )
- %BrierScoreCalc Calculates the Brier Score of a binary probabilistic
- %prediction after knowing the actual result. Two inputs are needed:
- %ProbOccures is the reported probability of the event becoming true.
- %Occured shoud be 1 if the event became true and 0 if the event became
- %false.
- ProbNotOccurs = 1 - ProbOccurs;
- BS = (ProbOccurs - Occured)^2 + (ProbNotOccurs - (1-Occured) )^2;
- end
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