adaptation_specialization_material/output/etm_20_r/summary_change_disruption.tex

\begin{table}[H]
\caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the change score and (b) the cognitive distance for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
\label{table:summary_change_disruption}
\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{llllll}
\toprule
Dep. variable & \multicolumn{2}{c}{Change score ($c_a$)} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Cognitive distance ($d_a$)} \\
Model & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
Predictor &  &  &  &  &  \\
\midrule
\textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.28}\substack{+0.044 \\ -0.044}$ & $\bm{+0.28}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.043}$ & $\bm{+0.33}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.34}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.32}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.043}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.09}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.07}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.11}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.09}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.1}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (power)} & $\bm{-0.09}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.07}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.14}\substack{+0.061 \\ -0.061}$ & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ \\
\textbf{Stable affiliation} & $-0.01\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.009\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.007\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $+0.0009\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ \\
\textbf{Academic age} & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.07}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.07}\substack{+0.047 \\ -0.047}$ & $\bm{-0.08}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (co-authored)} & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.058 \\ -0.059}$ & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.058 \\ -0.058}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.058 \\ -0.056}$ & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.053 \\ -0.052}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)} & $\bm{-0.05}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{-0.05}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{-0.04}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ \\
\hline Hadrons & $-0.009\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
String theory \& supergravity & $\bm{+0.28}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{+0.34}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+0.21}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
Perturbative methods & $+0.12\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.21 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.16\substack{+0.23 \\ -0.18}$ \\
Classical fields & $-0.25\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.59}$ & $-0.21\substack{+0.38 \\ -0.55}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.58}$ & $-0.17\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.51}$ & $-0.16\substack{+0.26 \\ -0.55}$ \\
Collider physics & $\bm{-0.19}\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.17}$ & $\bm{-0.34}\substack{+0.19 \\ -0.19}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.16}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.16}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
Neutrinos \& flavour physics & $\bm{+0.21}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.17\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.13}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ \\
Black holes & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.19}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ \\
Gauge theory \& Grand Unification & $-0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.003\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.008\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Dark matter & $\bm{-0.27}\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.25}$ & $\bm{-0.32}\substack{+0.26 \\ -0.27}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.23}$ & $-0.18\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.24}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.23}$ \\
Thermodynamics & $+0.14\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.26}$ & $+0.27\substack{+0.41 \\ -0.32}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.25\substack{+0.41 \\ -0.29}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.36 \\ -0.21}$ \\
Cosmology & $-0.02\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.17}$ \\
Electroweak sector & $-0.14\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.16}$ & $\bm{-0.21}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.18}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.15}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
QCD & $-0.009\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.16}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
Quantum Field Theory & $+0.04\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
AdS/CFT & $+0.003\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
\end{table}