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- \begin{table}[H]
- \centering
- \caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the change score and (b) the disruption score for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
- \label{table:summary_change_disruption}
- \renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{lllllll}
- \toprule
- Dep. variable & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Change score ($c_a$)} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Disruption score ($d_a$)} \\
- Model & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
- Predictor & & & & & & \\
- \midrule
- \textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.29}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.043}$ & $\bm{+0.29}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.27}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.32}\substack{+0.044 \\ -0.044}$ & $\bm{+0.34}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.3}\substack{+0.044 \\ -0.043}$ \\
- \textbf{Social capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.1}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.08}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.09}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.12}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.11}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.1}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ \\
- \textbf{Social capital (power)} & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.059}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.06}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.19}\substack{+0.059 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.059 \\ -0.059}$ & $\bm{-0.09}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ \\
- \textbf{Stable affiliation} & $-0.06\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ \\
- \textbf{Academic age} & $\bm{-0.16}\substack{+0.053 \\ -0.052}$ & $\bm{-0.16}\substack{+0.052 \\ -0.052}$ & $\bm{-0.2}\substack{+0.046 \\ -0.047}$ & $\bm{-0.11}\substack{+0.053 \\ -0.053}$ & $\bm{-0.11}\substack{+0.053 \\ -0.053}$ & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.047 \\ -0.047}$ \\
- \textbf{Productivity (co-authored)} & $\bm{-0.13}\substack{+0.057 \\ -0.057}$ & $\bm{-0.13}\substack{+0.057 \\ -0.057}$ & $\bm{-0.18}\substack{+0.046 \\ -0.046}$ & $\bm{-0.08}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.08}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.048 \\ -0.047}$ \\
- \textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)} & $\bm{-0.04}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{-0.05}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ \\
- \hline Hadrons & $+0.04\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ \\
- String theory \& supergravity & $\bm{+0.29}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{+0.37}\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.17}$ & $\bm{+0.24}\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.13}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.12}$ & $\bm{+0.27}\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.13}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.11}$ \\
- Perturbative methods & $+0.13\substack{+0.21 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.14\substack{+0.21 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.18\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.19}$ \\
- Classical fields & $-0.14\substack{+0.29 \\ -0.46}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.12\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.44}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.25 \\ -0.41}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.26 \\ -0.42}$ \\
- Collider physics & $-0.12\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.18}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.16}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.12}$ \\
- Dynamics & $-0.04\substack{+0.29 \\ -0.34}$ & $-0.0007\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
- Neutrinos \& flavour physics & $\bm{+0.25}\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.16}$ & $+0.16\substack{+0.19 \\ -0.17}$ & $\bm{+0.25}\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.16}$ & $\bm{+0.17}\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.15}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.13}$ & $\bm{+0.16}\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.15}$ \\
- Black holes & $+0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.14\substack{+0.21 \\ -0.18}$ & $-0.003\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.15\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.006\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.2}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.19}$ \\
- Gauge theory \& Grand Unification & $-0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.26}$ \\
- Dark matter & $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.24}$ & $\bm{-0.33}\substack{+0.25 \\ -0.26}$ & $\bm{-0.22}\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.24}$ & $-0.12\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.16\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.24}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.23}$ \\
- Thermodynamics & $+0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.23}$ & $+0.18\substack{+0.38 \\ -0.28}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.22}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ \\
- Cosmology & $-0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.14}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.18}$ \\
- Electroweak sector & $-0.07\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.19}\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.18}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.002\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
- QCD & $-0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.19}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
- Quantum Field Theory & $+0.05\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.13\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.12\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.16\substack{+0.19 \\ -0.24}$ \\
- AdS/CFT & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
- \bottomrule
- \end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
- \end{table}
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