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summary_change_disruption.tex

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  1. \begin{table}[H]
    2. 

  2. \caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the change score and (b) the cognitive distance for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
    3. 

  3. \label{table:summary_change_disruption}
    4. 

  4. \renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{lllllll}
    5. 

  5. \toprule
    6. 

  6. Dep. variable & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Change score ($c_a$)} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Cognitive distance ($d_a$)} \\
    7. 

  7. Model & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
    8. 

  8. Predictor &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
    9. 

  9. \midrule
    10. 

  10. \textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.29}\substack{+0.044 \\ -0.044}$ & $\bm{+0.29}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.27}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.043}$ & $\bm{+0.34}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.043}$ & $\bm{+0.35}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.32}\substack{+0.043 \\ -0.043}$ \\
    11. 

  11. \textbf{Social capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.1}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.08}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.09}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{+0.12}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.041}$ & $\bm{+0.1}\substack{+0.042 \\ -0.042}$ & $\bm{+0.11}\substack{+0.041 \\ -0.041}$ \\
    12. 

  12. \textbf{Social capital (power)} & $\bm{-0.11}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.06}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.19}\substack{+0.059 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.18}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.059}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ \\
    13. 

  13. \textbf{Stable affiliation} & $-0.04\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.09 \\ -0.09}$ \\
    14. 

  14. \textbf{Academic age} & $\bm{-0.15}\substack{+0.054 \\ -0.054}$ & $\bm{-0.15}\substack{+0.053 \\ -0.053}$ & $\bm{-0.19}\substack{+0.048 \\ -0.047}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.1}\substack{+0.05 \\ -0.05}$ & $\bm{-0.16}\substack{+0.048 \\ -0.048}$ \\
    15. 

  15. \textbf{Productivity (co-authored)} & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.057 \\ -0.057}$ & $\bm{-0.12}\substack{+0.057 \\ -0.057}$ & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.047 \\ -0.047}$ & $\bm{-0.06}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.06}\substack{+0.06 \\ -0.06}$ & $\bm{-0.15}\substack{+0.047 \\ -0.047}$ \\
    16. 

  16. \textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)} & $\bm{-0.04}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $\bm{-0.05}\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.04 \\ -0.04}$ \\
    17. 

  17. \hline Hadrons & $-0.003\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.009\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
    18. 

  18. String theory \& supergravity & $\bm{+0.31}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{+0.37}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.18}$ & $\bm{+0.26}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{+0.14}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.13}$ & $\bm{+0.25}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
    19. 

  19. Perturbative methods & $+0.13\substack{+0.23 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.19}$ & $+0.16\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.18}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.21 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.18\substack{+0.23 \\ -0.19}$ \\
    20. 

  20. Classical fields & $-0.24\substack{+0.35 \\ -0.58}$ & $-0.2\substack{+0.37 \\ -0.54}$ & $-0.21\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.56}$ & $-0.21\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.17\substack{+0.31 \\ -0.51}$ & $-0.18\substack{+0.27 \\ -0.57}$ \\
    21. 

  21. Collider physics & $\bm{-0.17}\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.17}$ & $\bm{-0.33}\substack{+0.19 \\ -0.19}$ & $-0.15\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.17}$ & $-0.007\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.15}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.16}$ & $+0.004\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
    22. 

  22. Neutrinos \& flavour physics & $\bm{+0.22}\substack{+0.18 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.18\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.18}$ & $\bm{+0.22}\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.17}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.14}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.14}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.13}$ \\
    23. 

  23. Black holes & $+0.05\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.19}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ \\
    24. 

  24. Gauge theory \& Grand Unification & $-0.07\substack{+0.28 \\ -0.35}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.0007\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.3}$ \\
    25. 

  25. Dark matter & $\bm{-0.28}\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.25}$ & $\bm{-0.34}\substack{+0.26 \\ -0.27}$ & $\bm{-0.26}\substack{+0.23 \\ -0.25}$ & $-0.14\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.23}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.24}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.17 \\ -0.23}$ \\
    26. 

  26. Thermodynamics & $+0.12\substack{+0.35 \\ -0.26}$ & $+0.25\substack{+0.41 \\ -0.32}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.25}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.23\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.28}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ \\
    27. 

  27. Cosmology & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.007\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ \\
    28. 

  28. Electroweak sector & $-0.13\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.16}$ & $\bm{-0.21}\substack{+0.19 \\ -0.19}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.16}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.13 \\ -0.15}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
    29. 

  29. QCD & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.004\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.009\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
    30. 

  30. Quantum Field Theory & $+0.05\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.19}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.25 \\ -0.21}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.16 \\ -0.23}$ \\
    31. 

  31. AdS/CFT & $-0.003\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.12\substack{+0.28 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.004\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
    32. 

  32. \bottomrule
    33. 

  33. \end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
    34. 

  34. \end{table}
    35.