\begin{table}[H]
\caption{Effect of each variable on (a) the probability of having entered a new research area and (b) the probability of having exited a research area, for each model. The reference model uses entropy as the diversity measure $D$ and the magnitude of intellectual capital as a measure of power $P$. Values indicate the mean posterior effect size and the 95\% credible interval. Significant effects are shown in bold.}
\label{table:summary_entered_exited}
\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{2}\fontsize{6}{7}\selectfont\begin{tabular}{lllllll}
\toprule
Dep. variable & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Entered a new research area} & \multicolumn{3}{c}{Exited a research area} \\
Model & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ & Reference & $D=\text{Stirling}$ & $P=\text{Brokerage}$ \\
Predictor &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
\midrule
\textbf{Intellectual capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.21}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+0.18}\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{+0.2}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.11}$ & $\bm{+1.1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{+0.86}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ & $\bm{+1}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.13}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (diversity)} & $\bm{+0.24}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{+0.19}\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{+0.24}\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\textbf{Social capital (power)} & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.24}\substack{+0.11 \\ -0.12}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\textbf{Stable affiliation} & $-0.22\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.21\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $-0.22\substack{+0.22 \\ -0.22}$ & $+0.002\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $+0.006\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
\textbf{Academic age} & $+0.02\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+5e-05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $\bm{-0.22}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ & $\bm{-0.3}\substack{+0.14 \\ -0.14}$ & $\bm{-0.34}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.13}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (co-authored)} & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $0\substack{+0 \\ -0}$ & $\bm{-0.18}\substack{+0.15 \\ -0.15}$ & $\bm{-0.23}\substack{+0.12 \\ -0.12}$ \\
\textbf{Productivity (solo-authored)} & $-0.08\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.09}$ & $-0.09\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.09}$ & $+0.009\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.1 \\ -0.1}$ \\
\hline Hadrons & $-0.14\substack{+0.29 \\ -0.36}$ & $-0.25\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.14\substack{+0.29 \\ -0.35}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.39}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ \\
String theory \& supergravity & $\bm{+0.36}\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.31}$ & $\bm{+0.43}\substack{+0.35 \\ -0.34}$ & $\bm{+0.33}\substack{+0.32 \\ -0.3}$ & $\bm{+0.38}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.33}$ & $\bm{+0.69}\substack{+0.39 \\ -0.39}$ & $+0.27\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.28}$ \\
Perturbative methods & $+0.11\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.35}$ & $+0.08\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.11\substack{+0.45 \\ -0.35}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.13\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.48}$ & $-0.02\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Classical fields & $+0.23\substack{+1.2 \\ -0.62}$ & $+0.35\substack{+1.4 \\ -0.72}$ & $+0.22\substack{+1.1 \\ -0.61}$ & $-0.08\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.7}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.8}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.6}$ \\
Collider physics & $\bm{-0.41}\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.34}$ & $\bm{-0.61}\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.34}$ & $\bm{-0.39}\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.34}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.29\substack{+0.33 \\ -0.37}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
Neutrinos \& flavour physics & $+0.09\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.31}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.25 \\ -0.34}$ & $-0.29\substack{+0.34 \\ -0.41}$ & $-0.19\substack{+0.24 \\ -0.35}$ \\
Black holes & $-0.002\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.38 \\ -0.34}$ & $-0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.1\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.44\substack{+0.54 \\ -0.45}$ & $+0.06\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Gauge theory \& Grand Unification & $-0.05\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.7}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.1\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.7}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.79}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.6}$ \\
Dark matter & $\bm{-0.65}\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.56}$ & $\bm{-0.71}\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.56}$ & $\bm{-0.63}\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.57}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.11\substack{+0.42 \\ -0.49}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ \\
Thermodynamics & $-0.04\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.002\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.6}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.7 \\ -0.6}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.39 \\ -0.53}$ \\
Cosmology & $-0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.03\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.07\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.13\substack{+0.44 \\ -0.29}$ & $+0.39\substack{+0.55 \\ -0.44}$ & $+0.09\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ \\
Electroweak sector & $+0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.01\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.08\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.003\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.2}$ & $-0.04\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.003\substack{+0.2 \\ -0.2}$ \\
QCD & $-0.004\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.4}$ & $-0.004\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.02\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.03\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.4}$ & $+0.04\substack{+0.31 \\ -0.25}$ \\
Quantum Field Theory & $+0.17\substack{+0.54 \\ -0.39}$ & $+0.23\substack{+0.58 \\ -0.42}$ & $+0.15\substack{+0.52 \\ -0.38}$ & $+0.07\substack{+0.5 \\ -0.3}$ & $+0.3\substack{+0.66 \\ -0.47}$ & $+0.05\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.3}$ \\
AdS/CFT & $+0.14\substack{+0.61 \\ -0.43}$ & $+0.22\substack{+0.68 \\ -0.47}$ & $+0.13\substack{+0.59 \\ -0.43}$ & $-0.05\substack{+0.4 \\ -0.5}$ & $+0.08\substack{+0.6 \\ -0.5}$ & $-0.06\substack{+0.3 \\ -0.5}$ \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}\normalsize\renewcommand{\arraystretch}{1}
\end{table}
